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Red187
5966.5
238355.3
1015434.8
Blue205
18083.7
17974.5
541024.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions168196100150250300187205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+34
Endgame+24
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +18
6Leave0
3Coral scored#7
13Coral points37
19Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +16
29Coral scored#28
104Coral points102
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#7
6Processor points12
16Net points28
22Algae points40
126Total teleop142
Reef
12L4#14
9L3#11
7L2#6
4L1 · trough#4
37Game pieces#44
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +18
6Foul points0
187Total score205

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59
#8
66.50.6
65.966.5
Auto6.0
Teleop51.3
End9.1
blue by 17.2
180
#1
83.70.5
83.083.6
Auto17.9
Teleop57.7
End8.1
Second
55.30.6
54.755.3
Auto12.4
Teleop31.7
End11.2
blue by 19.2
179
#2
74.50.5
73.874.3
Auto14.8
Teleop53.2
End6.4
Third
34.80.7
34.134.8
Auto4.4
Teleop25.4
End5.1
red by 10.4
5410
#20
24.40.5
23.724.3
Auto4.9
Teleop17.0
End2.4