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Red102
977918.1
761116.9
287262.5
Blue134
17974.5
58729.2
152328.1
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77102050150102134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+22
Endgame+32
Fouls+32
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
3Coral scored#4
14Coral points20
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +22
14Coral scored#13
51Coral points47
1Processor algae#4
4Net algae#6
6Processor points24
16Net points24
22Algae points48
73Total teleop95
Reef
6L4#7
4L3#4
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
0Foul points0
102Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2872
#10
62.51.5
51.953.5
Auto15.3
Teleop40.5
End6.8
blue by 11.9
179
#2
74.52.4
66.568.9
Auto14.8
Teleop53.2
End6.4
Second
9779
#31
18.12.6
12.014.6
Auto3.7
Teleop12.4
End2.0
blue by 10.0
1523
#15
28.12.7
18.721.3
Auto5.5
Teleop17.0
End5.6
Third
7611
#39
16.91.9
9.711.5
Auto3.2
Teleop12.4
End1.3
red by 7.6
5872
#44
9.22.9
7.09.9
Auto2.9
Teleop5.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed74%Barge oddsEarned