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Red132
5966.5
783318.9
541024.4
Blue107
10854.1
672241.7
765215.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions791060204060120140160132107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
+15Teleop
+25Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousBlue +9
6Leave0
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points25
16Total auto25
TeleoperatedRed +24
22Coral scored#14
80Coral points50
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
6Processor points12
16Net points16
22Algae points28
102Total teleop78
Reef
8L4#6
7L3#7
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#25
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points0
132Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59
#8
66.54.3
51.255.5
Auto6.0
Teleop51.3
End9.1
red by 12.4
108
#7
54.10.8
42.042.8
Auto16.3
Teleop34.0
End3.7
Second
5410
#20
24.43.9
11.815.7
Auto4.9
Teleop17.0
End2.4
blue by 17.3
6722
#29
41.70.7
35.636.3
Auto7.0
Teleop32.0
End2.7
Third
7833
#17
18.95.8
10.516.4
Auto4.7
Teleop11.5
End2.7
red by 3.8
7652
#33
15.11.0
14.815.9
Auto3.9
Teleop9.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsMissed