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Red110
174418.4
674335.8
884159.6
Blue116
10854.1
940428.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10792050150200250110116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
Teleop+16
Endgame+8
Fouls+6
AutonomousBlue +15
6Leave3
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points24
12Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +1
18Coral scored#14
64Coral points49
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
6Processor points18
12Net points16
18Algae points34
82Total teleop83
Reef
6L4#8
6L3#5
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#26
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
2Foul points0
110Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.60.4
48.248.7
Auto6.9
Teleop44.5
End8.1
red by 5.5
108
#7Sur
54.12.0
42.844.8
Auto16.3
Teleop34.0
End3.7
Second
35.80.7
32.833.6
Auto4.8
Teleop24.2
End6.8
red by 7.3
9404
#26
28.52.0
18.020.0
Auto5.5
Teleop21.9
End1.1
Third
1744
#35Sur
18.40.4
9.09.5
Auto3.6
Teleop12.4
End2.4
red by 8.5
9.93.0
17.120.1
Auto5.4
Teleop5.7
End-1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsMissed