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Red74
555739.3
904012.5
743112.6
Blue126
1015434.8
316433.8
881742.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7782406010012074126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+38
Endgame+52
Fouls+52
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +35
12Coral scored#21
43Coral points74
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
57Total teleop92
Reef
4L4#9
4L3#7
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#4
16Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +52
6Foul points6
74Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5557
#13
39.30.3
32.732.4
Auto7.2
Teleop30.2
End1.9
blue by 2.9
8817
#23Sur
42.22.9
31.033.9
Auto5.7
Teleop33.9
End2.7
Second
7431
#41
12.60.3
17.216.9
Auto2.7
Teleop8.6
End1.3
blue by 22.2
34.84.8
19.924.7
Auto4.4
Teleop25.4
End5.1
Third
9040
#32Sur
12.50.5
14.814.3
Auto2.1
Teleop8.7
End1.7
blue by 21.3
33.83.2
17.020.2
Auto7.3
Teleop19.5
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
17%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsEarned