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Red124
555739.3
174418.4
940428.5
Blue143
884159.6
248658.9
743112.6
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6513550100150200124143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+7
Endgame+19
Fouls+19
AutonomousBlue +8
9Leave0
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points23
15Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +1
16Coral scored#23
57Coral points82
4Processor algae#1
6Net algae#4
24Processor points6
24Net points16
48Algae points22
105Total teleop104
Reef
6L4#16
4L3#6
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points0
124Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5557
#13
39.33.4
32.435.8
Auto7.2
Teleop30.2
End1.9
blue by 20.3
59.61.3
48.749.9
Auto6.9
Teleop44.5
End8.1
Second
9404
#26
28.53.4
20.023.4
Auto5.5
Teleop21.9
End1.1
blue by 30.3
2486
#12
58.91.3
47.248.5
Auto14.3
Teleop35.0
End9.6
Third
1744
#35
18.43.4
9.512.9
Auto3.6
Teleop12.4
End2.4
red by 5.9
7431
#41
12.61.3
16.918.2
Auto2.7
Teleop8.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed89%Barge oddsEarned