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Red155
858135.2
10854.1
552646.6
Blue66
1015434.8
765215.1
904012.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12657010015020015566

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+89Teleop
+89Endgame
+89Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave6
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points6
33Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +68
24Coral scored#8
86Coral points30
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
108Total teleop40
Reef
9L4#4
11L3#2
6L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
34Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +89
0Foul points0
155Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
108
#7
54.13.3
44.848.1
Auto16.3
Teleop34.0
End3.7
red by 19.2
34.80.8
24.725.5
Auto4.4
Teleop25.4
End5.1
Second
46.63.3
29.332.6
Auto8.6
Teleop36.2
End1.7
red by 31.5
7652
#33
15.10.8
14.615.4
Auto3.9
Teleop9.4
End1.9
Third
8581
#18
35.25.5
25.831.3
Auto10.0
Teleop22.0
End3.2
red by 22.7
9040
#32
12.50.8
14.315.1
Auto2.1
Teleop8.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsEarned