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Red13
Blue32
674335.8
364624.4
977918.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions596601001502002503001332

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+15
Endgame+19
Fouls+19
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
3Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +9
3Coral scored#4
10Coral points15
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
0Processor points0
0Net points4
0Algae points4
10Total teleop19
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#1
0L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
3Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points0
13Total score32

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9.94.2
20.115.9
Auto5.4
Teleop5.7
End-1.1
blue by 25.8
35.82.6
33.631.0
Auto4.8
Teleop24.2
End6.8
Second
6686
#40
9.24.2
18.914.7
Auto1.6
Teleop5.5
End2.2
blue by 15.2
3646
#28
24.42.1
8.96.8
Auto4.2
Teleop17.9
End2.3
Third
6.74.2
12.07.8
Auto1.4
Teleop4.6
End0.8
blue by 11.4
9779
#31
18.12.6
12.810.2
Auto3.7
Teleop12.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
12%Auto oddsMissed42%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsMissed