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Red132
907724.3
152328.1
672241.7
Blue62
881742.2
1061612.0
541024.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions897205010015013262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+52Teleop
+64Endgame
+70Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave9
5Coral scored#0
26Coral points0
26Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +35
19Coral scored#8
68Coral points27
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
12Processor points6
4Net points16
16Algae points22
84Total teleop49
Reef
6L4#4
7L3#2
7L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
27Game pieces#13
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +70
6Foul points0
132Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6722
#29
41.73.0
35.238.2
Auto7.0
Teleop32.0
End2.7
blue by 0.5
8817
#23
42.20.5
33.933.4
Auto5.7
Teleop33.9
End2.7
Second
1523
#15
28.13.0
24.127.0
Auto5.5
Teleop17.0
End5.6
red by 3.7
5410
#20
24.40.5
15.114.5
Auto4.9
Teleop17.0
End2.4
Third
9077
#14
24.33.3
16.219.5
Auto7.2
Teleop14.6
End2.5
red by 12.3
12.00.9
15.915.0
Auto1.0
Teleop9.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed