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Red49
362718.9
1063518.8
58729.2
Blue116
316433.8
1032330.1
962714.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61780204010012014049116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+43
Endgame+65
Fouls+67
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +36
7Coral scored#14
26Coral points50
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
36Total teleop72
Reef
2L4#7
2L3#4
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
9Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +67
0Foul points2
49Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3627
#19
18.91.0
16.815.8
Auto1.8
Teleop15.5
End1.6
blue by 14.9
33.82.6
20.222.7
Auto7.3
Teleop19.5
End7.0
Second
18.81.6
17.616.0
Auto3.8
Teleop11.4
End3.6
blue by 11.3
30.12.6
22.224.8
Auto4.3
Teleop19.0
End6.8
Third
5872
#44
9.21.0
7.66.6
Auto2.9
Teleop5.8
End0.5
blue by 5.2
9627
#24
14.42.6
12.114.7
Auto3.2
Teleop9.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsMissed33%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed45%Barge oddsEarned