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Red173
1001713.4
17974.5
5966.5
Blue144
547257.2
238355.3
527618.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions155121100200250173144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
+21Teleop
+29Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousBlue +17
0Leave9
3Coral scored#5
16Coral points24
16Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +38
27Coral scored#21
97Coral points77
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#3
12Processor points6
24Net points12
36Algae points18
133Total teleop95
Reef
10L4#12
10L3#5
5L2#5
5L1 · trough#4
38Game pieces#30
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
0Foul points0
173Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#2
74.51.2
67.869.0
Auto14.8
Teleop53.2
End6.4
red by 17.2
5472
#11
57.21.0
51.152.1
Auto14.9
Teleop36.4
End5.9
Second
59
#8
66.51.2
57.258.4
Auto6.0
Teleop51.3
End9.1
red by 11.2
55.31.0
48.749.7
Auto12.4
Teleop31.7
End11.2
Third
13.41.3
16.818.0
Auto3.9
Teleop6.4
End3.2
blue by 5.2
5276
#38
18.61.0
15.316.2
Auto4.1
Teleop13.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
32%Coral oddsEarned16%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned77%Barge oddsEarned