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Red175
264119.8
18083.7
393253.2
Blue107
783318.9
287262.5
74431.8
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1559050200250175107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+30Auto
+46Teleop
+56Endgame
+68Fouls
AutonomousRed +30
9Leave6
8Coral scored#3
41Coral points14
50Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +16
21Coral scored#13
75Coral points47
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#5
6Processor points6
8Net points20
14Algae points26
89Total teleop73
Reef
12L4#4
7L3#6
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#22
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +68
12Foul points0
175Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#1
83.72.2
67.870.0
Auto17.9
Teleop57.7
End8.1
red by 21.2
2872
#10
62.51.2
55.156.3
Auto15.3
Teleop40.5
End6.8
Second
3932
#16
53.22.2
49.051.2
Auto12.9
Teleop34.1
End6.2
red by 21.4
744
#36
31.81.2
21.122.3
Auto2.8
Teleop26.0
End3.1
Third
2641
#21
19.82.5
12.915.4
Auto6.2
Teleop11.1
End2.6
red by 0.9
7833
#17
18.92.0
12.814.8
Auto4.7
Teleop11.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
43%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsEarned