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Red131
10854.1
1015434.8
761116.9
Blue101
470722.1
248658.9
66869.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions999790110120130131101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+36Teleop
+26Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points4
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +33
18Coral scored#16
65Coral points56
3Processor algae#1
6Net algae#3
18Processor points6
24Net points12
42Algae points18
107Total teleop74
Reef
6L4#7
7L3#3
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
4Foul points0
131Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
108
#7
54.11.7
48.149.7
Auto16.3
Teleop34.0
End3.7
blue by 4.8
2486
#12
58.90.1
48.548.5
Auto14.3
Teleop35.0
End9.6
Second
34.82.8
25.528.3
Auto4.4
Teleop25.4
End5.1
red by 12.8
4707
#34
22.10.1
23.824.0
Auto4.3
Teleop14.7
End3.0
Third
7611
#39
16.91.7
13.315.0
Auto3.2
Teleop12.4
End1.3
red by 7.7
6686
#40
9.20.1
14.714.8
Auto1.6
Teleop5.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsMissed88%Barge oddsEarned