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Red26
765215.1
1061612.0
Blue75
552646.6
674335.8
904012.5
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions509601502675

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+35
Endgame+49
Fouls+49
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave0
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points15
12Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +32
3Coral scored#9
10Coral points32
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
14Total teleop46
Reef
2L4#5
1L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +14
0Cage & park14
0Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
0Foul points0
26Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7652
#33
15.12.8
15.412.6
Auto3.9
Teleop9.4
End1.9
blue by 31.5
46.60.6
32.631.9
Auto8.6
Teleop36.2
End1.7
Second
12.02.8
15.012.2
Auto1.0
Teleop9.1
End1.9
blue by 23.8
35.81.1
31.029.9
Auto4.8
Teleop24.2
End6.8
Third
9.92.8
15.913.0
Auto5.4
Teleop5.7
End-1.1
blue by 2.5
9040
#32
12.51.1
15.114.0
Auto2.1
Teleop8.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed61%Barge oddsEarned