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Red145
1063518.8
17974.5
783318.9
Blue105
248658.9
904012.5
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1238350100150200145105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+32Teleop
+32Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
9Leave9
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points15
23Total auto24
TeleoperatedRed +33
18Coral scored#15
66Coral points53
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
18Processor points6
16Net points8
34Algae points14
100Total teleop67
Reef
6L4#5
6L3#6
4L2#5
5L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
8Foul points0
145Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#2
74.51.3
70.872.0
Auto14.8
Teleop53.2
End6.4
red by 15.6
2486
#12
58.91.1
48.549.6
Auto14.3
Teleop35.0
End9.6
Second
7833
#17
18.92.2
13.315.5
Auto4.7
Teleop11.5
End2.7
red by 6.4
9040
#32
12.51.8
14.015.9
Auto2.1
Teleop8.7
End1.7
Third
18.82.2
18.620.7
Auto3.8
Teleop11.4
End3.6
red by 8.8
9.91.8
13.014.9
Auto5.4
Teleop5.7
End-1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned82%Barge oddsEarned