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Red132
547257.2
907724.3
761116.9
Blue148
316433.8
884159.6
362718.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107107100110120130140132148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+10
Endgame+22
Fouls+16
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave9
6Coral scored#3
28Coral points14
37Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +24
16Coral scored#16
57Coral points57
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#6
6Processor points18
12Net points24
18Algae points42
75Total teleop99
Reef
8L4#8
6L3#4
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
26Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
6Foul points0
132Total score148

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5472
#11
57.21.7
54.155.8
Auto14.9
Teleop36.4
End5.9
blue by 2.3
59.63.1
51.454.5
Auto6.9
Teleop44.5
End8.1
Second
9077
#14
24.31.7
21.823.5
Auto7.2
Teleop14.6
End2.5
blue by 9.5
33.83.1
24.327.3
Auto7.3
Teleop19.5
End7.0
Third
7611
#39
16.91.7
16.318.0
Auto3.2
Teleop12.4
End1.3
blue by 2.1
3627
#19
18.93.1
17.820.9
Auto1.8
Teleop15.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned71%Barge oddsEarned