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Red150
962714.4
74431.8
18083.7
Blue97
672241.7
541024.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13461010015020025015097

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+57Teleop
+59Endgame
+53Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points10
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +57
18Coral scored#11
66Coral points39
4Processor algae#1
7Net algae#4
24Processor points6
28Net points16
52Algae points22
118Total teleop61
Reef
8L4#5
7L3#3
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#18
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +53
0Foul points6
150Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#1
83.72.3
74.877.1
Auto17.9
Teleop57.7
End8.1
red by 42.0
6722
#29
41.71.9
37.339.2
Auto7.0
Teleop32.0
End2.7
Second
744
#36
31.82.3
23.625.9
Auto2.8
Teleop26.0
End3.1
red by 7.5
5410
#20
24.41.9
19.321.2
Auto4.9
Teleop17.0
End2.4
Third
9627
#24
14.42.3
16.518.8
Auto3.2
Teleop9.2
End1.9
red by 7.7
6.73.2
5.58.7
Auto1.4
Teleop4.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
25%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsEarned