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Red99
783318.9
316433.8
10854.1
Blue193
552646.6
17974.5
547257.2
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions911885015025030099193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+100
Endgame+100
Fouls+94
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave6
3Coral scored#7
17Coral points34
26Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +86
10Coral scored#22
35Coral points79
1Processor algae#4
3Net algae#9
6Processor points24
12Net points36
18Algae points60
53Total teleop139
Reef
4L4#8
4L3#11
3L2#7
2L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#42
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +94
6Foul points0
99Total score193

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
108
#7
54.10.0
49.949.9
Auto16.3
Teleop34.0
End3.7
blue by 20.4
179
#2
74.51.9
72.073.9
Auto14.8
Teleop53.2
End6.4
Second
33.80.0
27.327.4
Auto7.3
Teleop19.5
End7.0
blue by 23.4
5472
#11
57.21.9
55.857.7
Auto14.9
Teleop36.4
End5.9
Third
7833
#17
18.90.0
15.515.5
Auto4.7
Teleop11.5
End2.7
blue by 27.7
46.61.9
36.738.6
Auto8.6
Teleop36.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed48%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsEarned