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Red114
940428.5
364624.4
761116.9
Blue130
393253.2
858135.2
904012.5
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions571280100150200114130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+38
Endgame+40
Fouls+16
AutonomousBlue +18
9Leave0
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points27
9Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +20
11Coral scored#19
41Coral points67
3Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
18Processor points12
8Net points8
26Algae points20
67Total teleop87
Reef
6L4#10
2L3#5
2L2#6
1L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
36Foul points12
114Total score130

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9404
#26
28.50.9
24.925.9
Auto5.5
Teleop21.9
End1.1
blue by 24.7
3932
#16
53.20.5
50.951.4
Auto12.9
Teleop34.1
End6.2
Second
3646
#28
24.40.9
9.710.7
Auto4.2
Teleop17.9
End2.3
blue by 10.8
8581
#18
35.20.8
32.533.3
Auto10.0
Teleop22.0
End3.2
Third
7611
#39
16.90.9
18.018.9
Auto3.2
Teleop12.4
End1.3
red by 4.4
9040
#32
12.50.8
15.916.7
Auto2.1
Teleop8.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed92%Barge oddsEarned