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Red159
18083.7
362718.9
674335.8
Blue150
5966.5
248658.9
672241.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136167100150200250159150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+9Teleop
Endgame+9
+9Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
6Leave9
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points11
19Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +10
21Coral scored#21
76Coral points74
2Processor algae#2
7Net algae#5
12Processor points12
28Net points20
40Algae points32
116Total teleop106
Reef
11L4#10
6L3#7
2L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
18Foul points0
159Total score150

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#1
83.70.4
77.177.5
Auto17.9
Teleop57.7
End8.1
red by 17.2
59
#8
66.50.5
60.159.6
Auto6.0
Teleop51.3
End9.1
Second
35.80.6
28.529.2
Auto4.8
Teleop24.2
End6.8
blue by 23.1
2486
#12
58.90.5
49.649.1
Auto14.3
Teleop35.0
End9.6
Third
3627
#19
18.90.4
20.921.3
Auto1.8
Teleop15.5
End1.6
blue by 22.8
6722
#29
41.70.5
39.238.7
Auto7.0
Teleop32.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
50%Coral oddsMissed20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsEarned