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Red93
765215.1
541024.4
555739.3
Blue64
174418.4
287262.5
1001713.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions811070501502002509364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+13Teleop
+15Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave0
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points23
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +24
13Coral scored#6
47Coral points23
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
61Total teleop37
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#2
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#14
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
14Foul points0
93Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5557
#13
39.30.5
38.338.9
Auto7.2
Teleop30.2
End1.9
blue by 23.2
2872
#10
62.51.8
58.656.8
Auto15.3
Teleop40.5
End6.8
Second
5410
#20
24.40.5
21.221.8
Auto4.9
Teleop17.0
End2.4
red by 5.9
1744
#35
18.41.8
15.313.5
Auto3.6
Teleop12.4
End2.4
Third
7652
#33
15.10.9
11.212.2
Auto3.9
Teleop9.4
End1.9
red by 1.7
13.41.8
17.015.2
Auto3.9
Teleop6.4
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed50%Barge oddsMissed