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Red124
74431.8
152328.1
1015434.8
Blue146
765215.1
884159.6
364624.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95866080100120140124146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+26
Endgame+28
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +23
18Coral scored#26
63Coral points94
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
6Processor points6
20Net points12
26Algae points18
89Total teleop112
Reef
6L4#9
6L3#9
4L2#7
3L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
12Foul points6
124Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.81.7
27.228.9
Auto4.4
Teleop25.4
End5.1
blue by 24.8
59.63.2
54.858.0
Auto6.9
Teleop44.5
End8.1
Second
744
#36
31.81.1
28.029.1
Auto2.8
Teleop26.0
End3.1
red by 7.4
3646
#28
24.43.2
10.713.9
Auto4.2
Teleop17.9
End2.3
Third
1523
#15
28.11.1
28.529.6
Auto5.5
Teleop17.0
End5.6
red by 13.0
7652
#33
15.15.0
12.217.2
Auto3.9
Teleop9.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsMissed73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned64%Barge oddsEarned