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Red90
238355.3
66869.2
1063518.8
Blue158
18083.7
555739.3
783318.9
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions841555010020025090158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+76
Endgame+72
Fouls+68
AutonomousBlue +24
3Leave0
2Coral scored#7
10Coral points37
13Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +52
11Coral scored#18
41Coral points65
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#6
6Processor points18
8Net points24
14Algae points42
55Total teleop107
Reef
5L4#10
2L3#8
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#34
BargeRed +4
18Cage & park14
18Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +68
4Foul points0
90Total score158

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.30.1
48.748.8
Auto12.4
Teleop31.7
End11.2
blue by 28.4
180
#1
83.71.4
77.578.9
Auto17.9
Teleop57.7
End8.1
Second
18.80.2
17.717.8
Auto3.8
Teleop11.4
End3.6
blue by 20.5
5557
#13
39.31.4
38.940.2
Auto7.2
Teleop30.2
End1.9
Third
6686
#40
9.20.1
12.212.4
Auto1.6
Teleop5.5
End2.2
blue by 9.7
7833
#17
18.92.2
15.517.7
Auto4.7
Teleop11.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed43%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned68%Barge oddsEarned