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Red62
962714.4
940428.5
977918.1
Blue85
907724.3
527618.6
10854.1
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions651060501506285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+27
Endgame+25
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave9
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points14
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +16
7Coral scored#11
26Coral points40
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
12Processor points6
4Net points12
16Algae points18
42Total teleop58
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
11Game pieces#18
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
2Foul points0
62Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9404
#26
28.50.1
25.926.0
Auto5.5
Teleop21.9
End1.1
blue by 25.5
108
#7
54.10.2
48.648.3
Auto16.3
Teleop34.0
End3.7
Second
9779
#31
18.10.2
15.115.3
Auto3.7
Teleop12.4
End2.0
blue by 6.2
9077
#14
24.30.2
22.522.3
Auto7.2
Teleop14.6
End2.5
Third
9627
#24
14.40.1
17.017.1
Auto3.2
Teleop9.2
End1.9
blue by 4.2
5276
#38
18.60.2
17.417.2
Auto4.1
Teleop13.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed