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Red24
541024.4
58729.2
743112.6
Blue83
17974.5
904012.5
362718.9
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4213801001502002483

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+63
Endgame+67
Fouls+59
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points16
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +59
1Coral scored#11
4Coral points41
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#4
0Processor points6
0Net points16
0Algae points22
4Total teleop63
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#5
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
2Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +59
8Foul points0
24Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5410
#20
24.42.2
23.621.4
Auto4.9
Teleop17.0
End2.4
blue by 50.1
179
#2
74.52.0
73.071.0
Auto14.8
Teleop53.2
End6.4
Second
7431
#41
12.62.2
15.913.7
Auto2.7
Teleop8.6
End1.3
blue by 6.4
3627
#19
18.92.0
22.320.3
Auto1.8
Teleop15.5
End1.6
Third
5872
#44
9.22.2
9.87.6
Auto2.9
Teleop5.8
End0.5
blue by 3.3
9040
#32
12.52.9
18.015.1
Auto2.1
Teleop8.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed85%Barge oddsMissed