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Red113
672241.7
74431.8
527618.6
Blue120
761116.9
555739.3
552646.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9211650150200113120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+13
Endgame+9
Fouls+7
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +20
14Coral scored#20
49Coral points73
3Processor algae#3
6Net algae#5
18Processor points18
24Net points20
42Algae points38
91Total teleop111
Reef
6L4#6
4L3#6
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#5
24Game pieces#30
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
2Foul points0
113Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6722
#29
41.71.1
39.840.9
Auto7.0
Teleop32.0
End2.7
blue by 4.9
46.60.9
41.542.4
Auto8.6
Teleop36.2
End1.7
Second
744
#36
31.81.1
29.130.2
Auto2.8
Teleop26.0
End3.1
blue by 7.5
5557
#13
39.30.9
40.241.1
Auto7.2
Teleop30.2
End1.9
Third
5276
#38
18.61.1
17.218.3
Auto4.1
Teleop13.4
End1.0
red by 1.7
7611
#39
16.90.9
17.118.0
Auto3.2
Teleop12.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed