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Red190
1061612.0
17974.5
287262.5
Blue209
74431.8
5966.5
884159.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145158100120180200220190209

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+11Teleop
Endgame+1
Fouls+19
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave0
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points9
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +3
35Coral scored#31
127Coral points110
1Processor algae#3
5Net algae#7
6Processor points18
20Net points28
26Algae points46
153Total teleop156
Reef
14L4#9
12L3#10
8L2#6
6L1 · trough#8
46Game pieces#43
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points18
190Total score209

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#2
74.52.3
71.073.3
Auto14.8
Teleop53.2
End6.4
red by 8.0
59
#8
66.51.6
61.563.2
Auto6.0
Teleop51.3
End9.1
Second
2872
#10
62.52.3
58.761.0
Auto15.3
Teleop40.5
End6.8
red by 3.0
59.61.6
57.959.5
Auto6.9
Teleop44.5
End8.1
Third
12.03.1
8.912.0
Auto1.0
Teleop9.1
End1.9
blue by 19.8
744
#36
31.81.6
30.231.8
Auto2.8
Teleop26.0
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
37%Coral oddsEarned24%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
68%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsEarned