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Red82
552646.6
783318.9
765215.1
Blue41
761116.9
962714.4
743112.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions914801502008241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+49Teleop
+49Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave6
4Coral scored#1
19Coral points3
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +39
11Coral scored#4
39Coral points16
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#0
6Processor points6
16Net points0
22Algae points6
61Total teleop22
Reef
6L4#2
3L3#1
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#6
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
0Foul points8
82Total score41

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.60.2
42.442.6
Auto8.6
Teleop36.2
End1.7
red by 29.7
7611
#39
16.91.1
18.016.9
Auto3.2
Teleop12.4
End1.3
Second
7833
#17
18.90.3
18.618.9
Auto4.7
Teleop11.5
End2.7
red by 4.5
9627
#24
14.41.1
15.514.4
Auto3.2
Teleop9.2
End1.9
Third
7652
#33
15.10.3
14.815.1
Auto3.9
Teleop9.4
End1.9
red by 2.5
7431
#41
12.61.1
13.712.6
Auto2.7
Teleop8.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed