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Red65
527618.6
904012.5
174418.4
Blue164
674335.8
881742.2
10854.1
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47148010020025065164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+89
Endgame+111
Fouls+99
AutonomousBlue +24
9Leave9
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points24
9Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +65
7Coral scored#24
24Coral points85
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
12Processor points12
4Net points8
16Algae points20
40Total teleop105
Reef
2L4#14
2L3#7
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#5
10Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +99
12Foul points0
65Total score164

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5276
#38
18.60.3
18.318.6
Auto4.1
Teleop13.4
End1.0
blue by 35.5
108
#7
54.13.0
50.153.0
Auto16.3
Teleop34.0
End3.7
Second
1744
#35
18.40.3
18.118.4
Auto3.6
Teleop12.4
End2.4
blue by 23.8
8817
#23
42.23.0
37.740.7
Auto5.7
Teleop33.9
End2.7
Third
9040
#32
12.50.4
12.112.5
Auto2.1
Teleop8.7
End1.7
blue by 23.3
35.84.0
31.535.5
Auto4.8
Teleop24.2
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsMissed83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed62%Barge oddsEarned