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Red144
18083.7
17974.5
541024.4
Blue148
881742.2
287262.5
152328.1
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions196134100150250300144148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
0Teleop0
Endgame+10
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave9
4Coral scored#6
20Coral points28
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +14
23Coral scored#18
81Coral points63
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
12Processor points12
8Net points12
20Algae points24
101Total teleop87
Reef
8L4#8
8L3#8
6L2#5
5L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Penalties & totalBlue +4
6Foul points0
144Total score148

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#1
83.70.9
82.581.6
Auto17.9
Teleop57.7
End8.1
red by 21.2
2872
#10
62.50.4
61.061.5
Auto15.3
Teleop40.5
End6.8
Second
179
#2
74.50.9
73.372.4
Auto14.8
Teleop53.2
End6.4
red by 32.2
8817
#23
42.20.4
40.741.2
Auto5.7
Teleop33.9
End2.7
Third
5410
#20
24.40.9
23.222.3
Auto4.9
Teleop17.0
End2.4
blue by 3.7
1523
#15
28.10.4
26.627.0
Auto5.5
Teleop17.0
End5.6