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Red128
555739.3
674335.8
940428.5
Blue155
248658.9
364624.4
552646.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113134100150200128155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+27
Endgame+27
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave3
3Coral scored#7
16Coral points34
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +6
19Coral scored#22
68Coral points78
4Processor algae#2
4Net algae#6
24Processor points12
16Net points24
40Algae points36
108Total teleop114
Reef
9L4#12
5L3#9
6L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#37
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points0
128Total score155

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5557
#13
39.30.6
39.039.6
Auto7.2
Teleop30.2
End1.9
blue by 19.6
2486
#12
58.90.8
54.955.7
Auto14.3
Teleop35.0
End9.6
Second
35.80.7
35.536.2
Auto4.8
Teleop24.2
End6.8
blue by 10.8
46.60.8
42.643.4
Auto8.6
Teleop36.2
End1.7
Third
9404
#26
28.50.6
28.328.8
Auto5.5
Teleop21.9
End1.1
red by 4.1
3646
#28
24.40.8
20.421.2
Auto4.2
Teleop17.9
End2.3