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Red223
5966.5
238355.3
1015434.8
Blue161
884159.6
672241.7
74431.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions167142100200250223161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+30Teleop
+50Endgame
+62Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points16
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +23
33Coral scored#24
118Coral points87
1Processor algae#3
7Net algae#6
6Processor points18
28Net points24
34Algae points42
152Total teleop129
Reef
16L4#9
7L3#7
7L2#7
6L1 · trough#4
44Game pieces#36
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +62
12Foul points0
223Total score161

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59
#8
66.51.0
63.264.2
Auto6.0
Teleop51.3
End9.1
red by 6.9
59.60.2
59.559.8
Auto6.9
Teleop44.5
End8.1
Second
55.31.0
52.053.0
Auto12.4
Teleop31.7
End11.2
red by 13.6
6722
#29
41.70.2
41.741.9
Auto7.0
Teleop32.0
End2.7
Third
34.81.2
30.832.0
Auto4.4
Teleop25.4
End5.1
red by 3.0
744
#36
31.80.2
31.832.0
Auto2.8
Teleop26.0
End3.1