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Red168
316433.8
858135.2
547257.2
Blue162
10854.1
393253.2
1032330.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions152164100120140180200220168162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+2
+18Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
8Coral scored#6
38Coral points28
44Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +9
19Coral scored#19
68Coral points67
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#6
12Processor points18
20Net points24
32Algae points42
100Total teleop109
Reef
7L4#10
12L3#6
4L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
34Game pieces#34
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points12
168Total score162

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5472
#11
57.20.6
57.558.1
Auto14.9
Teleop36.4
End5.9
red by 3.2
108
#7
54.10.0
53.053.1
Auto16.3
Teleop34.0
End3.7
Second
8581
#18
35.20.8
35.536.3
Auto10.0
Teleop22.0
End3.2
blue by 18.0
3932
#16
53.20.0
52.252.2
Auto12.9
Teleop34.1
End6.2
Third
33.80.6
34.134.7
Auto7.3
Teleop19.5
End7.0
red by 3.7
30.10.0
28.928.9
Auto4.3
Teleop19.0
End6.8