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Red115
248658.9
316433.8
674335.8
Blue88
743112.6
74431.8
238355.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104845015020011588

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+25Teleop
+27Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
3Leave3
4Coral scored#1
19Coral points6
22Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +12
16Coral scored#11
59Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
6Processor points6
12Net points20
18Algae points26
77Total teleop65
Reef
5L4#4
7L3#3
6L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#18
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points0
115Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2486
#12
58.91.6
45.847.4
Auto14.3
Teleop35.0
End9.6
red by 3.6
55.30.5
45.445.9
Auto12.4
Teleop31.7
End11.2
Second
35.82.7
30.132.8
Auto4.8
Teleop24.2
End6.8
red by 4.0
744
#36
31.80.5
18.418.9
Auto2.8
Teleop26.0
End3.1
Third
33.82.0
15.017.0
Auto7.3
Teleop19.5
End7.0
red by 21.3
7431
#41
12.60.6
16.717.2
Auto2.7
Teleop8.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned63%Barge oddsEarned