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Red79
152328.1
940428.5
858135.2
Blue177
17974.5
470722.1
555739.3
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6113105010015020079177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+82
Endgame+98
Fouls+98
AutonomousBlue +18
9Leave0
1Coral scored#6
3Coral points30
12Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +64
14Coral scored#30
49Coral points107
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
67Total teleop131
Reef
5L4#16
4L3#7
4L2#6
2L1 · trough#7
19Game pieces#41
BargeBlue +16
0Cage & park16
0Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +98
0Foul points0
79Total score177

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8581
#18
35.20.9
24.725.5
Auto10.0
Teleop22.0
End3.2
blue by 39.2
179
#2
74.53.7
62.866.5
Auto14.8
Teleop53.2
End6.4
Second
9404
#26
28.50.6
17.418.0
Auto5.5
Teleop21.9
End1.1
blue by 10.8
5557
#13
39.34.6
28.132.7
Auto7.2
Teleop30.2
End1.9
Third
1523
#15
28.10.6
18.018.7
Auto5.5
Teleop17.0
End5.6
red by 6.0
4707
#34
22.16.2
18.925.1
Auto4.3
Teleop14.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsEarned