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Red80
672241.7
552646.6
364624.4
Blue126
287262.5
10854.1
66869.2
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6712105010015020080126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+26
Teleop+36
Endgame+46
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +26
3Leave3
2Coral scored#8
12Coral points38
15Total auto41
TeleoperatedBlue +10
9Coral scored#13
31Coral points47
1Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
6Processor points12
24Net points12
30Algae points24
61Total teleop71
Reef
4L4#8
3L3#4
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
18Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
0Foul points0
80Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.60.5
25.726.3
Auto8.6
Teleop36.2
End1.7
blue by 15.9
2872
#10
62.50.9
51.151.9
Auto15.3
Teleop40.5
End6.8
Second
6722
#29
41.70.5
35.135.6
Auto7.0
Teleop32.0
End2.7
blue by 12.4
108
#7
54.11.1
40.942.0
Auto16.3
Teleop34.0
End3.7
Third
3646
#28
24.40.7
7.48.1
Auto4.2
Teleop17.9
End2.3
red by 15.2
6686
#40
9.21.4
15.216.6
Auto1.6
Teleop5.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsEarned