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Red10
977918.1
783318.9
Blue59
541024.4
362718.9
1001713.4
55%Model gave it45%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions614701001502002503003501059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+29
Endgame+31
Fouls+49
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +26
1Coral scored#6
4Coral points20
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
4Total teleop30
Reef
0L4#3
1L3#2
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
1Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +2
0Cage & park2
0Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
0Foul points18
10Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7833
#17
18.94.8
15.310.5
Auto4.7
Teleop11.5
End2.7
blue by 5.5
5410
#20
24.40.7
12.511.8
Auto4.9
Teleop17.0
End2.4
Second
9779
#31
18.14.8
16.812.0
Auto3.7
Teleop12.4
End2.0
blue by 0.8
3627
#19
18.90.6
16.015.5
Auto1.8
Teleop15.5
End1.6
Third
6.76.3
6.713.0
Auto1.4
Teleop4.6
End0.8
blue by 6.7
13.40.7
14.914.1
Auto3.9
Teleop6.4
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed