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Red102
5966.5
527618.6
Blue78
1032330.1
1015434.8
58729.2
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11154010015020010278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+14Teleop
+12Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave3
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points9
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +10
13Coral scored#12
46Coral points42
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
70Total teleop60
Reef
5L4#6
5L3#4
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
12Foul points0
102Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59
#8
66.51.0
52.251.2
Auto6.0
Teleop51.3
End9.1
red by 31.6
34.814.2
33.519.3
Auto4.4
Teleop25.4
End5.1
Second
5276
#38
18.61.0
16.015.0
Auto4.1
Teleop13.4
End1.0
blue by 11.5
30.10.9
22.923.8
Auto4.3
Teleop19.0
End6.8
Third
9.96.6
9.916.5
Auto5.4
Teleop5.7
End-1.1
red by 0.7
5872
#44
9.21.2
5.87.0
Auto2.9
Teleop5.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned24%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsMissed