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Red184
881742.2
884159.6
393253.2
Blue44
743112.6
1063518.8
765215.1
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14151010020025018444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+122Teleop
+134Endgame
+140Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave9
5Coral scored#0
27Coral points0
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +101
26Coral scored#7
94Coral points25
2Processor algae#0
7Net algae#2
12Processor points0
28Net points8
40Algae points8
134Total teleop33
Reef
8L4#3
10L3#2
7L2#1
6L1 · trough#1
40Game pieces#9
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +140
6Foul points0
184Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.63.7
45.449.1
Auto6.9
Teleop44.5
End8.1
red by 40.8
18.84.0
18.814.8
Auto3.8
Teleop11.4
End3.6
Second
3932
#16
53.23.7
41.445.2
Auto12.9
Teleop34.1
End6.2
red by 38.1
7652
#33
15.13.0
17.814.8
Auto3.9
Teleop9.4
End1.9
Third
8817
#23
42.23.7
28.332.0
Auto5.7
Teleop33.9
End2.7
red by 29.7
7431
#41
12.62.2
18.916.7
Auto2.7
Teleop8.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsMissed