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Red81
904012.5
238355.3
316433.8
Blue69
74431.8
470722.1
940428.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions925101502008169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+12
+6Endgame
+12Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +12
11Coral scored#10
38Coral points36
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
42Total teleop54
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#15
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
6Foul points0
81Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.30.2
45.645.4
Auto12.4
Teleop31.7
End11.2
red by 23.5
744
#36
31.81.3
17.118.4
Auto2.8
Teleop26.0
End3.1
Second
33.80.2
15.215.0
Auto7.3
Teleop19.5
End7.0
red by 5.3
9404
#26
28.51.7
15.617.4
Auto5.5
Teleop21.9
End1.1
Third
9040
#32
12.50.3
16.516.3
Auto2.1
Teleop8.7
End1.7
blue by 9.6
4707
#34
22.12.2
16.818.9
Auto4.3
Teleop14.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned30%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned16%Barge oddsMissed