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Red151
881742.2
287262.5
152328.1
Blue176
248658.9
364624.4
552646.6
58%Model gave it42%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14313250100200250300151176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+25
Endgame+25
Fouls+25
AutonomousBlue +24
9Leave3
3Coral scored#9
14Coral points44
23Total auto47
TeleoperatedBlue +1
22Coral scored#25
80Coral points89
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#5
18Processor points6
16Net points20
34Algae points26
114Total teleop115
Reef
6L4#13
8L3#9
6L2#6
5L1 · trough#6
32Game pieces#40
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points0
151Total score176

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2872
#10
62.50.5
61.561.9
Auto15.3
Teleop40.5
End6.8
red by 3.7
2486
#12
58.91.2
55.757.0
Auto14.3
Teleop35.0
End9.6
Second
8817
#23
42.20.5
41.241.6
Auto5.7
Teleop33.9
End2.7
blue by 4.4
46.61.2
43.444.7
Auto8.6
Teleop36.2
End1.7
Third
1523
#15
28.10.5
27.027.5
Auto5.5
Teleop17.0
End5.6
red by 3.7
3646
#28
24.41.2
21.222.5
Auto4.2
Teleop17.9
End2.3