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Red239
5966.5
238355.3
1015434.8
Blue136
316433.8
858135.2
547257.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions171141100150200250239136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+57Teleop
+79Endgame
+103Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
5Coral scored#5
24Coral points24
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +57
23Coral scored#16
83Coral points58
3Processor algae#3
12Net algae#4
18Processor points18
48Net points16
66Algae points34
149Total teleop92
Reef
12L4#7
7L3#6
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
43Game pieces#28
BargeRed +22
36Cage & park14
36Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +103
24Foul points0
239Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59
#8
66.51.1
64.265.2
Auto6.0
Teleop51.3
End9.1
red by 9.2
5472
#11
57.20.2
58.157.9
Auto14.9
Teleop36.4
End5.9
Second
55.31.1
53.054.0
Auto12.4
Teleop31.7
End11.2
red by 20.1
8581
#18
35.20.2
36.336.1
Auto10.0
Teleop22.0
End3.2
Third
34.81.3
32.033.3
Auto4.4
Teleop25.4
End5.1
red by 1.0
33.80.2
34.734.5
Auto7.3
Teleop19.5
End7.0