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Red101
691957.9
1033811.0
424014.3
Blue100
177183.7
767613.1
751414.2
4%Model gave it96%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6411650100150101100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+17
Endgame+5
+1Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave0
5Coral scored#5
23Coral points27
23Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +13
12Coral scored#14
42Coral points51
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
56Total teleop69
Reef
6L4#10
5L3#4
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#23
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
6Foul points0
101Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.91.9
48.850.7
Auto12.2
Teleop37.6
End8.1
blue by 25.8
83.70.0
74.774.7
Auto26.0
Teleop49.4
End8.2
Second
4240
#10
14.31.9
12.013.9
Auto4.0
Teleop9.2
End1.1
red by 0.1
7514
#19
14.20.0
12.011.9
Auto2.8
Teleop10.5
End1.0
Third
11.01.9
5.87.7
Auto2.4
Teleop6.4
End2.1
blue by 2.1
7676
#25
13.10.0
13.713.6
Auto4.9
Teleop7.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed25%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned57%Barge oddsMissed