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Red116
334423.4
691957.9
767613.1
Blue130
177183.7
473019.4
690511.9
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7812150100150200116130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+2
Endgame+14
Fouls+14
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave6
5Coral scored#5
27Coral points27
27Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +4
18Coral scored#15
65Coral points53
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
12Processor points12
8Net points16
20Algae points28
85Total teleop81
Reef
10L4#6
5L3#7
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points0
116Total score130

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.92.4
50.753.1
Auto12.2
Teleop37.6
End8.1
blue by 25.8
83.71.5
74.776.2
Auto26.0
Teleop49.4
End8.2
Second
3344
#12
23.42.4
15.918.3
Auto3.8
Teleop19.2
End0.4
red by 4.0
4730
#11
19.41.5
21.122.6
Auto4.3
Teleop13.2
End2.0
Third
7676
#25
13.12.4
13.616.0
Auto4.9
Teleop7.0
End1.2
red by 1.2
6905
#20
11.91.5
11.913.4
Auto2.9
Teleop6.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed27%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsEarned