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Red115
602337.9
582810.4
808030.9
Blue98
179514.4
1048226.5
692529.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions677505010015020011598

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+27Teleop
+17Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave6
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +34
19Coral scored#11
68Coral points38
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
12Processor points12
20Net points16
32Algae points28
100Total teleop66
Reef
6L4#5
6L3#3
6L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
0Foul points0
115Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.92.7
30.132.8
Auto6.1
Teleop30.7
End1.2
red by 8.0
6925
#15
29.91.3
27.028.2
Auto4.5
Teleop23.3
End2.0
Second
30.92.7
22.325.0
Auto6.5
Teleop22.8
End1.6
red by 4.4
26.51.3
26.527.7
Auto6.8
Teleop12.0
End7.7
Third
5828
#14
10.42.7
5.58.1
Auto3.0
Teleop6.9
End0.5
blue by 4.0
1795
#21
14.41.3
9.310.5
Auto3.1
Teleop10.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsEarned