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Red40
445913.3
507422.5
450919.5
Blue94
751414.2
1048226.5
332928.9
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6367405080901004094

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+42
Endgame+54
Fouls+54
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +42
6Coral scored#12
20Coral points44
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
0Processor points6
4Net points16
4Algae points22
24Total teleop66
Reef
3L4#6
2L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +54
0Foul points0
40Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5074
#13
22.51.3
24.923.6
Auto5.2
Teleop15.1
End2.3
blue by 6.4
28.92.2
21.523.7
Auto4.2
Teleop22.8
End1.9
Second
4509
#24
19.51.3
23.522.2
Auto5.9
Teleop13.0
End0.5
blue by 7.0
26.52.2
27.729.9
Auto6.8
Teleop12.0
End7.7
Third
4459
#22
13.31.3
11.510.1
Auto2.9
Teleop9.7
End0.6
blue by 1.0
7514
#19
14.22.2
11.914.1
Auto2.8
Teleop10.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned29%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsEarned