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Red31
582810.4
884916.4
179514.4
Blue82
241526.7
424014.3
602337.9
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35940501503182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+51
Endgame+51
Fouls+51
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +48
3Coral scored#10
10Coral points36
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#6
0Processor points6
8Net points24
8Algae points30
18Total teleop66
Reef
2L4#5
1L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +51
0Foul points0
31Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8849
#23
16.40.4
13.212.8
Auto2.9
Teleop12.3
End1.2
blue by 21.5
37.90.3
32.833.1
Auto6.1
Teleop30.7
End1.2
Second
1795
#21
14.40.4
10.510.1
Auto3.1
Teleop10.0
End1.4
blue by 12.2
2415
#18
26.70.3
25.525.8
Auto3.8
Teleop22.1
End0.7
Third
5828
#14
10.40.4
8.17.7
Auto3.0
Teleop6.9
End0.5
blue by 3.9
4240
#10
14.30.3
13.914.1
Auto4.0
Teleop9.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
12%Auto oddsMissed55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
5%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed