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Red95
692529.9
100228.2
334423.4
Blue93
926038.0
1033811.0
690511.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8459020401001201401609593

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+6
Endgame+4
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave0
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +13
10Coral scored#19
37Coral points68
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
12Processor points6
20Net points8
32Algae points14
69Total teleop82
Reef
4L4#8
5L3#6
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#24
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
6Foul points0
95Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6925
#15
29.90.7
28.228.9
Auto4.5
Teleop23.3
End2.0
blue by 8.1
38.02.1
34.636.7
Auto5.8
Teleop31.1
End1.1
Second
28.20.7
25.726.5
Auto7.3
Teleop19.4
End1.5
red by 16.4
6905
#20
11.92.1
13.415.5
Auto2.9
Teleop6.9
End2.1
Third
3344
#12
23.40.7
18.319.0
Auto3.8
Teleop19.2
End0.4
red by 12.5
11.02.1
8.410.5
Auto2.4
Teleop6.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed