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Red83
691957.9
751414.2
445913.3
Blue100
692529.9
808030.9
926038.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions667620406010012014083100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+27
Endgame+17
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave0
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points20
6Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +13
13Coral scored#16
47Coral points56
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
6Processor points6
12Net points16
18Algae points22
65Total teleop78
Reef
6L4#8
4L3#4
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#4
17Game pieces#25
BargeRed +10
12Cage & park2
12Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points0
83Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.91.6
41.142.6
Auto12.2
Teleop37.6
End8.1
red by 19.9
38.02.1
24.226.3
Auto5.8
Teleop31.1
End1.1
Second
7514
#19
14.21.6
9.310.8
Auto2.8
Teleop10.5
End1.0
blue by 16.7
30.92.1
15.417.5
Auto6.5
Teleop22.8
End1.6
Third
4459
#22
13.31.6
6.68.2
Auto2.9
Teleop9.7
End0.6
blue by 16.6
6925
#15
29.92.1
25.627.7
Auto4.5
Teleop23.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
12%Auto oddsMissed41%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed