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Red75
1048226.5
450919.5
473019.4
Blue100
690511.9
602337.9
126150.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7073020030040050060075100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+45
Endgame+31
Fouls+25
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave6
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points10
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +41
8Coral scored#17
29Coral points62
0Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
0Processor points12
12Net points8
12Algae points20
41Total teleop82
Reef
3L4#5
4L3#4
1L2#6
2L1 · trough#4
13Game pieces#23
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
6Foul points0
75Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.50.3
19.720.0
Auto6.8
Teleop12.0
End7.7
blue by 23.5
50.02.1
32.534.6
Auto13.7
Teleop34.7
End1.6
Second
4509
#24
19.50.3
24.024.3
Auto5.9
Teleop13.0
End0.5
blue by 18.4
37.92.1
22.024.1
Auto6.1
Teleop30.7
End1.2
Third
4730
#11
19.40.3
15.315.6
Auto4.3
Teleop13.2
End2.0
red by 7.5
6905
#20
11.92.1
7.910.0
Auto2.9
Teleop6.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsEarned12%Barge oddsMissed